Renewal Forecast Intelligence

Renewal Forecast Intelligence

Board-ready GRR/NRR forecasting with scenario analysis -- paste renewal data and get the precision of a $200K VP of RevOps in seconds.

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Calculates GRR as retained ARR / expiring ARR (capped at 100%) and NRR as (retained + expansion) / expiring ARR, with the arithmetic visible in the output. Every forecast metric is traceable back to the numbers you pasted in.

Every run produces Best Case, Expected, and Downside scenarios with GRR, NRR, and total ARR for each. Best Case assumes all committed plus best case renew and expansion closes; Expected is risk-adjusted; Downside assumes at-risk accounts churn with no expansion. Each scenario shows its math.

For this month, next month, this quarter, and next quarter, lists every account by forecast category (Commit, Best Case, Pipeline) and flags anything with churn_flag as At Risk. Every account with a renewal date lands in exactly one period and one tier -- no double counting.

Breaks churn exposure down by risk category (Budget, IT Consolidation, Competitive, Product, Champion Loss, M&A, Downsizing, Payment) and by type (Voluntary vs Involuntary), with the largest risks called out by ARR impact. Active mitigation plays and expected save rates are included when the data supports them.

Closes with recommended actions ordered by dollar impact, each tied to specific accounts with estimated revenue impact. Board-email-ready: direct, numbers first, narrative second.

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Since: May 13, 2024

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